Reform UK predicted to come second in 36 seats at next general election | Politics | News

Reform UK would come second in dozens of constituencies but not win any if there was a general election tomorrow, according to a new mega poll.

The YouGov survey of more than 18,000 people predicted the insurgent party would gain the second-largest share of the vote in 36 seats.

The rebranded Brexit Party would secure 27% in Barnsley North and Hartlepool, coming second to Labour.

It would also be second in Doncaster North and Barnsley South with 25% and in Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley with 24%.

Lee Anderson’s Ashfield constituency is also in the top 10 where the party is expected to take second place with 23%.

Labour is 12 points ahead on 35% in the Nottinghamshire seat, while the Tories are third on 18%.

Overall the poll predicted that Sir Keir Starmer‘s party would win a landslide victory with 403 seats, while the Tories would be down to 155 MPs.

According to the pollsters, Rishi Sunak is heading for a worse result than John Major’s 1997 defeat, when the then-Conservative leader won a total of 165 seats.

The analysis found Tory big beasts including Chancellor Jeremy Hunt and Commons Leader Penny Mordaunt are set to be casualties.

The model is based on vote intention data collected and analysed by YouGov from 18,761 British adults interviewed from March 7-27.

Reacting to the survey, Reform UK MP Mr Anderson told GB News: “There’s that arrogance and I think they’re getting a little bit concerned now and it’s unfortunate because there are still some good Tories in the Conservative Party, some good Tory MPs who I’m still friends with who will probably lose their seats at the next election.

“Then there’s some MPs who are not so good, a little bit wet, the One Nation lot, who I think have destroyed the Conservative Party.

“The One Nation lot are actually worse than what the Labour Party are, because they’re just socialists in disguise…they’re not talking about stuff that we talk about, the common-sense stuff, they hate talking about migration, illegal and legal migration.”

Asked if Reform was splitting the Tory vote, he said: “You could say that the Conservative Party is splitting the vote. There’s a lot of anger out there about the two-party politics.

“It’s the same old song being chirped out by both political parties. They do not listen to the public and people, quite frankly, have had enough and the Reform party gives people an alternative.”

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